Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
KHL
Russia
Metallurg NovokuznetskHOME · -
3 : 72014.10.06 · 종료
CherepovetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 62.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.6%
VALUE EDGE+61.6%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
Metallurg NovokuznetskAnalysis MetricsCherepovets
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+0.92
Goal DifferentialHigher is better
+0.08
2.00
Average goals concededLower is better
2.42
62.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
2.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation10.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
L · 1-6L · 1-6L · 4-1W · 1-2W · 2-3
Cherepovets
L · 1-0L · 5-4W · 4-5W · 4-3L · 1-3
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.02.07 | Cherepovets | 3 : 0 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
| 2014.10.06 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 3 : 7 | Cherepovets |
| 2014.01.05 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 1 : 2 | Cherepovets |
| 2013.10.13 | Cherepovets | 5 : 2 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
| 2013.01.18 | Cherepovets | 2 : 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
| 2012.09.20 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 3 : 5 | Cherepovets |