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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia
Metallurg MagnitogorskHOME · -
4 : 12014.09.27 · 종료
Metallurg NovokuznetskAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 74.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +72.0%
VALUE EDGE+72.0%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEB
Metallurg MagnitogorskAnalysis MetricsMetallurg Novokuznetsk
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+0.42 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +0.92
2.25 Average goals concededLower is better 2.00
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
72.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Metallurg Magnitogorsk
W · 7-2W · 2-1W · 1-2W · 0-1W · 1-4
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
W · 1-2W · 2-3W · 3-2L · 2-5L · 6-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.09.27Metallurg Magnitogorsk4 : 1Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2014.01.23Metallurg Novokuznetsk3 : 4Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2013.09.16Metallurg Magnitogorsk3 : 1Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2012.12.28Metallurg Magnitogorsk6 : 0Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2012.10.06Metallurg Novokuznetsk4 : 1Metallurg Magnitogorsk