Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
KHL
Russia
Bars KazanHOME · -
00:002014.09.26 · AP
Metallurg NovokuznetskAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · PRE-MATCH MODEL
HOME61.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 62.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.5%
VALUE EDGE+61.5%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
Bars KazanAnalysis MetricsMetallurg Novokuznetsk
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-0.08
Goal DifferentialHigher is better
+0.92
2.50
Average goals concededLower is better
2.00
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.4 / 15
Prediction separation9.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bars Kazan
W · 3-1W · 0-5W · 2-3L · 3-2W · 4-3
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
W · 2-3W · 3-2L · 2-5L · 6-1W · 0-1
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014.11.16 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 1 : 3 | Bars Kazan |
| 2014.09.26 | Bars Kazan | 1 : 2 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
| 2013.11.29 | Bars Kazan | 4 : 5 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
| 2013.11.19 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 0 : 2 | Bars Kazan |
| 2013.01.24 | Bars Kazan | 5 : 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
| 2012.10.23 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 1 : 2 | Bars Kazan |