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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia
Barys AstanaHOME · -
22:002014.09.24 · AP
Lokomotiv YaroslavlAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · PRE-MATCH MODEL

HOME62.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 62.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.3%
VALUE EDGE+62.3%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEB
Barys AstanaAnalysis MetricsLokomotiv Yaroslavl
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+0.17 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +1.25
2.25 Average goals concededLower is better 1.67
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation10.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Barys Astana
L · 4-2L · 3-2L · 4-1W · 2-5L · 0-2
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
L · 4-2W · 2-0L · 2-3L · 1-4W · 2-5

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.20Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0 : 5Barys Astana
2014.09.24Barys Astana3 : 4Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
2014.03.05Lokomotiv Yaroslavl4 : 1Barys Astana
2013.09.10Barys Astana5 : 3Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
2012.12.28Barys Astana2 : 0Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
2012.10.09Lokomotiv Yaroslavl4 : 2Barys Astana