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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia
Sibir NovosibirskHOME · -
4 : 12014.09.15 · 종료
Barys AstanaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 51.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.9%
VALUE EDGE+51.9%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
Sibir NovosibirskAnalysis MetricsBarys Astana
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+0.58 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +0.17
2.00 Average goals concededLower is better 2.25
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation1.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sibir Novosibirsk
L · 3-5W · 6-1L · 2-3L · 3-2W · 0-1
Barys Astana
W · 2-5L · 0-2W · 4-0W · 3-2W · 5-4

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.02.22Barys Astana1 : 0Sibir Novosibirsk
2015.02.13Sibir Novosibirsk4 : 0Barys Astana
2015.01.22Barys Astana3 : 2Sibir Novosibirsk
2014.10.10Barys Astana6 : 3Sibir Novosibirsk
2014.09.15Sibir Novosibirsk4 : 1Barys Astana
2013.12.13Barys Astana3 : 4Sibir Novosibirsk
2013.10.19Sibir Novosibirsk2 : 3Barys Astana
2013.01.09Sibir Novosibirsk3 : 1Barys Astana
2012.09.27Barys Astana2 : 1Sibir Novosibirsk