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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia
CherepovetsHOME · -
0 : 22014.09.05 · 종료
Nizhny NovgorodAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 51.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.1%
VALUE EDGE+54.1%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEA
CherepovetsAnalysis MetricsNizhny Novgorod
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+0.08 Goal DifferentialHigher is better -0.25
2.42 Average goals concededLower is better 2.83
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation3.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cherepovets
L · 3-0L · 4-1W · 5-2W · 3-2W · 4-5
Nizhny Novgorod
L · 2-1W · 6-2L · 4-2L · 2-4W · 0-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.20Cherepovets4 : 1Nizhny Novgorod
2026.10.09Nizhny Novgorod2 : 3Cherepovets
2015.01.07Nizhny Novgorod0 : 4Cherepovets
2014.12.31Cherepovets2 : 3Nizhny Novgorod
2014.11.28Cherepovets3 : 4Nizhny Novgorod
2014.11.15Nizhny Novgorod2 : 4Cherepovets
2014.10.17Nizhny Novgorod2 : 3Cherepovets
2014.09.05Cherepovets0 : 2Nizhny Novgorod
2013.09.29Nizhny Novgorod0 : 2Cherepovets
2013.01.06Nizhny Novgorod5 : 3Cherepovets