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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia
Avangard OmskHOME · -
0 : 12014.09.04 · 종료
Metallurg NovokuznetskAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 74.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.9%
VALUE EDGE+71.9%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEA
Avangard OmskAnalysis MetricsMetallurg Novokuznetsk
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-0.92 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +0.92
2.67 Average goals concededLower is better 2.00
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Avangard Omsk
W · 3-2W · 0-4W · 0-2W · 3-4L · 6-4
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
L · 2-1L · 1-3L · 6-5W · 2-7L · 3-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.02.13Metallurg Novokuznetsk2 : 3Avangard Omsk
2014.10.10Avangard Omsk0 : 2Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2014.09.04Avangard Omsk0 : 1Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2013.12.13Avangard Omsk3 : 2Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2013.10.19Metallurg Novokuznetsk4 : 3Avangard Omsk
2013.01.09Metallurg Novokuznetsk3 : 5Avangard Omsk