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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Champions League Europe · Semi-finals
KarpatHOME · -
2 : 22016.01.20 · 종료
LukkoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 71.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.2%
VALUE EDGE+69.2%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEB
KarpatAnalysis MetricsLukko
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+0.00 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +1.33
2.17 Average goals concededLower is better 1.67
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 85.7%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karpat
W · 2-3W · 5-1L · 2-0W · 4-1L · 4-2
Lukko
L · 2-3W · 2-1D · 3-3W · 2-1W · 1-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.01.20Karpat2 : 2Lukko
2016.01.13Lukko2 : 3Karpat