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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Champions League Europe · Semi-finals
LukkoHOME · -
2 : 32016.01.13 · 종료
KarpatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 51.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +52.2%
VALUE EDGE+52.2%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
LukkoAnalysis MetricsKarpat
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+1.33 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +0.00
1.67 Average goals concededLower is better 2.17
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.7 / 15
Prediction separation1.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
47.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
52.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lukko
W · 2-1D · 3-3W · 2-1W · 1-2W · 0-3
Karpat
W · 5-1L · 2-0W · 4-1L · 4-2W · 3-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.01.20Karpat2 : 2Lukko
2016.01.13Lukko2 : 3Karpat