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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Champions League Europe · Quarter-finals
KarpatHOME · -
5 : 12015.12.09 · 종료
EspooAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 77/100
AI PICK HOME 74.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.3%
VALUE EDGE+71.3%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEB
KarpatAnalysis MetricsEspoo
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+0.00 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +0.75
2.17 Average goals concededLower is better 1.38
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage15.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample9.2 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karpat
L · 2-0W · 4-1L · 4-2W · 3-0W · 0-2
Espoo
W · 2-0D · 1-1W · 3-1L · 3-2W · 4-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.12.09Karpat5 : 1Espoo
2015.12.02Espoo2 : 0Karpat