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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Champions League Europe · Quarter-finals
EspooHOME · -
2 : 02015.12.02 · 종료
KarpatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 77/100
AI PICK AWAY 62.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +63.6%
VALUE EDGE+63.6%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEB
EspooAnalysis MetricsKarpat
37.5% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+0.00 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +0.00
2.00 Average goals concededLower is better 2.17
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage15.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample9.2 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation11.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
36.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
63.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Espoo
D · 1-1W · 3-1L · 3-2W · 4-1L · 2-1
Karpat
W · 4-1L · 4-2W · 3-0W · 0-2W · 4-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.12.09Karpat5 : 1Espoo
2015.12.02Espoo2 : 0Karpat