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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Champions League Europe
DjurgårdenHOME · -
1 : 22015.11.04 · 종료
LukkoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK AWAY 50.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +52.2%
VALUE EDGE+52.2%
FAIR ODDS1.92
GRADEA
DjurgårdenAnalysis MetricsLukko
54.5% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+0.73 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +1.33
2.09 Average goals concededLower is better 1.67
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 85.7%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation1.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
47.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
52.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Djurgården
D · 3-3W · 4-3W · 5-3W · 2-3L · 2-4
Lukko
W · 0-3W · 5-3L · 0-3W · 4-2L · 4-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.11.11Lukko2 : 1Djurgården
2015.11.04Djurgården1 : 2Lukko