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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Champions League Europe
ERC IngolstadtHOME · -
4 : 22015.09.30 · 종료
FrölundaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK AWAY 71.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +65.1%
VALUE EDGE+65.1%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
ERC IngolstadtAnalysis MetricsFrölunda
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-0.92 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +1.42
3.75 Average goals concededLower is better 2.50
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation12.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
34.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
65.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ERC Ingolstadt
L · 6-4W · 5-3L · 4-2W · 5-2
Frölunda
W · 1-4W · 1-4W · 3-2W · 9-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.09.30ERC Ingolstadt4 : 2Frölunda