Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Champions League
Europe
ERC IngolstadtHOME · -
5 : 32015.09.04 · 종료
VaxjoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 62.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.3%
VALUE EDGE+61.3%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEB
ERC IngolstadtAnalysis MetricsVaxjo
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-0.92
Goal DifferentialHigher is better
-1.00
3.75
Average goals concededLower is better
2.83
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.7 / 15
Prediction separation9.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ERC Ingolstadt
L · 4-2W · 5-2
Vaxjo
W · 1-3W · 4-2W · 10-2
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.09.04 | ERC Ingolstadt | 5 : 3 | Vaxjo |
| 2015.08.28 | Vaxjo | 4 : 2 | ERC Ingolstadt |