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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Champions League Europe
VaxjoHOME · -
4 : 22015.08.28 · 종료
ERC IngolstadtAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 71.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.0%
VALUE EDGE+67.0%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEB
VaxjoAnalysis MetricsERC Ingolstadt
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-1.00 Goal DifferentialHigher is better -0.92
2.83 Average goals concededLower is better 3.75
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation14.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
33.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vaxjo
W · 10-2
ERC Ingolstadt
W · 5-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.09.04ERC Ingolstadt5 : 3Vaxjo
2015.08.28Vaxjo4 : 2ERC Ingolstadt