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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Champions League Europe
LukkoHOME · -
4 : 22015.08.28 · 종료
FribourgAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 62.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.3%
VALUE EDGE+64.3%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
LukkoAnalysis MetricsFribourg
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+1.33 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +1.25
1.67 Average goals concededLower is better 2.08
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation12.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lukko
L · 4-3W · 3-4
Fribourg
L · 3-4

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.08.28Lukko4 : 2Fribourg
2015.08.21Fribourg3 : 4Lukko