Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Champions League Americas
World · Champions League Americas - Final
FlamengoHOME · -
79 : 882023.04.16 · 종료
FrancaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.7%
VALUE EDGE+64.7%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
FlamengoAnalysis MetricsFranca
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+10.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+11.83
157.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.33
87.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
1.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation12.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Flamengo
W · 75-80W · 88-86W · 64-92W · 74-92W · 71-79
Franca
W · 91-73W · 87-72W · 84-91W · 103-63W · 105-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.16 | Flamengo | 79 : 88 | Franca |
| 2023.01.29 | Franca | 76 : 65 | Flamengo |
| 2021.01.17 | Flamengo | 90 : 79 | Franca |
| 2015.02.08 | Franca | 72 : 80 | Flamengo |
| 2014.11.13 | Flamengo | 82 : 79 | Franca |
| 2011.05.11 | Franca | 91 : 78 | Flamengo |
| 2011.05.09 | Franca | 94 : 86 | Flamengo |
| 2011.05.07 | Flamengo | 69 : 73 | Franca |
| 2011.03.16 | Flamengo | 80 : 75 | Franca |
| 2011.01.28 | Franca | 101 : 91 | Flamengo |