Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Champions League Americas
World · Champions League Americas - Quarter-finals
FrancaHOME · -
87 : 722023.03.12 · 종료
PenarolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.0%
VALUE EDGE+74.0%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEB
FrancaAnalysis MetricsPenarol
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+11.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.25
161.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.75
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Franca
W · 84-91W · 103-63W · 105-65W · 76-65W · 80-72
Penarol
L · 93-97L · 78-92L · 84-91W · 85-70W · 103-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.12 | Franca | 87 : 72 | Penarol |
| 2023.03.07 | Penarol | 84 : 91 | Franca |