Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Champions League Americas
World · Champions League Americas - Quarter-finals
QuimsaHOME · -
103 : 672023.03.11 · 종료
Real EsteliAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.4%
VALUE EDGE+69.4%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
QuimsaAnalysis MetricsReal Esteli
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+5.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.17
152.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
176.83
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Quimsa
W · 86-94L · 89-77W · 97-92W · 99-61W · 87-83
Real Esteli
L · 86-94L · 90-101W · 93-99W · 109-93W · 98-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.11 | Quimsa | 103 : 67 | Real Esteli |
| 2023.03.07 | Real Esteli | 86 : 94 | Quimsa |