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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Champions League Americas World · Champions League Americas - Quarter-finals
FlamengoHOME · -
88 : 862023.03.10 · 종료
U. De ConcepcionAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 88.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +86.4%
VALUE EDGE+86.4%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
FlamengoAnalysis MetricsU. De Concepcion
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+9.42 Point MarginHigher is better +9.50
156.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.33
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
86.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
13.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Flamengo
W · 64-92W · 74-92W · 71-79L · 76-65W · 70-74
U. De Concepcion
L · 64-92L · 103-63W · 75-87L · 76-83W · 69-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.10Flamengo88 : 86U. De Concepcion
2023.03.06U. De Concepcion64 : 92Flamengo
2022.03.12U. De Concepcion49 : 92Flamengo
2022.01.30U. De Concepcion68 : 82Flamengo
2021.12.13Flamengo85 : 68U. De Concepcion