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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Champions League Americas World · Champions League Americas - Quarter-finals
Real EsteliHOME · -
86 : 942023.03.07 · 종료
QuimsaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +51.2%
VALUE EDGE+51.2%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
Real EsteliAnalysis MetricsQuimsa
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+0.83 Point MarginHigher is better +5.75
176.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.42
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation1.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
48.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
51.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Real Esteli
L · 90-101W · 93-99W · 109-93W · 98-84L · 98-87
Quimsa
L · 89-77W · 97-92W · 99-61W · 87-83W · 83-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.11Quimsa103 : 67Real Esteli
2023.03.07Real Esteli86 : 94Quimsa