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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Champions League Americas World
Instituto de CordobaHOME · -
80 : 892023.01.15 · 종료
PenarolAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +72.2%
VALUE EDGE+72.2%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
Instituto de CordobaAnalysis MetricsPenarol
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-2.17 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25
150.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.75
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
72.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
27.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Instituto de Cordoba
W · 88-68W · 81-89L · 64-56L · 92-82W · 87-84
Penarol
L · 103-47W · 92-82L · 76-85L · 68-71L · 67-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.03.30Instituto de Cordoba68 : 83Penarol
2025.10.13Penarol85 : 83Instituto de Cordoba
2024.02.15Instituto de Cordoba74 : 67Penarol
2023.11.21Penarol67 : 79Instituto de Cordoba
2023.03.17Penarol69 : 83Instituto de Cordoba
2023.02.09Instituto de Cordoba78 : 71Penarol
2023.01.15Instituto de Cordoba80 : 89Penarol
2022.12.13Penarol64 : 56Instituto de Cordoba
2022.10.30Instituto de Cordoba83 : 68Penarol