Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Champions League Americas
World
FlamengoHOME · -
103 : 472023.01.14 · 종료
PenarolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.8%
VALUE EDGE+68.8%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
FlamengoAnalysis MetricsPenarol
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+7.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.25
158.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.75
77.8%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Flamengo
W · 67-94L · 81-89L · 83-85W · 79-72W · 49-92
Penarol
W · 92-82L · 76-85L · 68-71L · 67-94W · 81-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.08 | Penarol | 74 : 92 | Flamengo |
| 2023.01.14 | Flamengo | 103 : 47 | Penarol |
| 2022.12.15 | Penarol | 67 : 94 | Flamengo |