Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Champions League Americas
World

Sao PauloHOME · -
101 : 812022.03.14 · 종료
NacionalAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 82.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.7%
VALUE EDGE+82.7%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEA
Sao PauloAnalysis MetricsNacional
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
27.3%
+9.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.82
159.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.82
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sao Paulo
W · 95-73W · 86-69W · 73-89W · 74-83W · 73-98
Nacional
L · 95-72W · 91-81L · 73-89L · 73-98L · 81-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.03.14 | Sao Paulo | 101 : 81 | Nacional |
| 2022.02.01 | Nacional | 73 : 89 | Sao Paulo |
| 2021.12.12 | Nacional | 73 : 98 | Sao Paulo |