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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Champions League Americas World
Sao PauloHOME · -
101 : 812022.03.14 · 종료
NacionalAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 82.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +82.7%
VALUE EDGE+82.7%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEA
Sao PauloAnalysis MetricsNacional
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 27.3%
+9.42 Point MarginHigher is better -7.82
159.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.82
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
82.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
17.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sao Paulo
W · 95-73W · 86-69W · 73-89W · 74-83W · 73-98
Nacional
L · 95-72W · 91-81L · 73-89L · 73-98L · 81-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.03.14Sao Paulo101 : 81Nacional
2022.02.01Nacional73 : 89Sao Paulo
2021.12.12Nacional73 : 98Sao Paulo