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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Champions League Americas World
QuimsaHOME · -
95 : 722022.03.13 · 종료
NacionalAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.9%
VALUE EDGE+54.9%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEA
QuimsaAnalysis MetricsNacional
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 27.3%
+5.75 Point MarginHigher is better -7.55
152.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.18
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation4.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Quimsa
L · 95-73L · 91-81L · 86-69L · 74-83W · 81-71
Nacional
W · 91-81L · 73-89L · 73-98L · 81-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.03.13Quimsa95 : 72Nacional
2022.02.03Nacional91 : 81Quimsa
2021.12.11Quimsa81 : 71Nacional