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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Champions League Americas World
CangrejerosHOME · -
78 : 822022.03.05 · 종료
Real EsteliAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM62 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 74/100
AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.4%
VALUE EDGE+69.4%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEB
CangrejerosAnalysis MetricsReal Esteli
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+5.83 Point MarginHigher is better -0.17
168.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 177.67
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

62/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage15.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample9.2 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.2 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cangrejeros
W · 88-91W · 68-89
Real Esteli
L · 88-91L · 81-84L · 80-84W · 98-95W · 94-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.03.16Cangrejeros83 : 96Real Esteli
2022.03.05Cangrejeros78 : 82Real Esteli
2021.12.16Real Esteli88 : 91Cangrejeros